Commentary
3c Analysis Commentary Page - Adding Value
On these pages we will expand upon some of our forecasts, talk about other moving markets from a technical analysis perspective, explain technical analysis tools from a practical perspective and include guest commentary from a variety of roles across the financial markets.
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3cAnalysis Performance figures for May 2017 Below is a summary of the success of our daily calls for May 2017. These are broken down into an overview of percentage of directional success. May Apr Mar 2017 FX Majors 75.2% 70.5% 79.0% 76.8% FX Crosses 60.6% 66.0% 73.8% 69.7% Equities 73.2% 69.2% 76.7% 71.3% Fixed Income 88.0% 65.5% 71.2% 78.0% Total 74.3% 68.9% 75.4% 74.4% May % Win/Lose Best Class Fixed Income 88.0% 59/8 Best performers in class. USDCHF 85.7% 12/2 GBPCHF 71.4% 10/4 ESTOXX 90.0% 9/1 BUNDS 93.3% 14/1 Underperformer EURPLN 33.3% 3/6 Performance broken down into each asset class and their components. FX Majors MAY APR 2017 EURUSD 60.0% 58.3% 75.0% CABLE 81.2% 81.8% 79.2% EURGBP 75.0% 90.9% 76.4% USDJPY 72.7% 60.0% 69.0% EURJPY 84.6% 60.0% 67.3% USDCHF 85.7% 40.0% 83.9% USDCAD 78.6% 84.6% 85.7% AUDUSD 54.6% 66.7% 75.0% FX Crosses May Apr 2017 GBPCHF 71.4% 66.7% 73.7% EURSEK 66.7% 71.4% 71.4% EURNOK 66.7% 72.7% 68.7% GBPJPY 55.6% 50.0% 68.4% AUDJPY 58.3% 40.0% 66.7% EURPLN 33.3% 85.7% 68.9% Equities May Apr 2017 DAX 81.8% 87.5% 81.1% ESTOXX 90.0% 66.7% 80.9% FTSE 71.4% 62.5% 73.8% DOW 55.6% 66.7% 61.9% S&P 60.0% 75.0% 62.8% NASDAQ 77.8% 60.0% 63.4% Fixed Income May Apr 2017 BUNDS 93.3% 66.7% 78.6% BOBLS 86.7% 72.7% 79.2% GILTS 85.7% 64.3% 76.1% T-NOTES 80.0% 55.6% 75.0% 30 yr 92.3% 66.7% 80.6% Any opinions, news, research, analysis,... read more
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Last week saw a strong move higher in NZDUSD that confirmed a break of key moving averages in both spot NZDUSD and the RSI indicator. This change to a bullish tone comes after February's negative move yielded only limited downside. Importantly that decline stalled at a 50% correction to the Sep'15 to Sep'16 rise - just as... read more
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Our assessment of the trend for EURTRY has been bullish since July 2016 after the spot crossover of the 21 week moving average (a golden cross) confirmed a marginally earlier cross in our RSI indicator.Throughout the latter part of 2016 and the beginning of this year, those averages, and even the 13 week line, have supported... read more
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A positive move through the 21 week moving average in AUDNZD in February confirmed a similar move in RSI the previous week.The year's peak was reached during March and the market has slipped back since - crucially to that moving average which, despite spikes below, has held the downside for AUDNZD on a closing basis over... read more
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Historically, anticipation of rising US rates has supported the US$. However, in a classic case of rumour over fact, once those rate rises have been implemented the US$ usually reverses.This year's signals on the $Index have been bearish and are supporting this view. Sellers have returned to the market.at 14 year highs and from close to... read more