Commentary
3c Analysis Commentary Page - Adding Value
On these pages we will expand upon some of our forecasts, talk about other moving markets from a technical analysis perspective, explain technical analysis tools from a practical perspective and include guest commentary from a variety of roles across the financial markets.
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Longer-term signals for GOLD on our trend table had been bearish for some time, but a small monthly Doji candle in December at 6 year lows has also come from close to 1087.5, a key 50% pullback to the entire 2001-2011 bull market, switching signals going into January to neutral. However, this month’s strong open has... read more
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...Our signals for sentiment in CADJPY have been bearish for the last 6 months.This followed a break below the 21 week displaced moving average and move to the lower end of a declining Keltner channel. That was th case through the first 3 months of this trend and although the latter part of last year saw... read more
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...Our bearish forecast for Q4, following a strong decline in the preceding 3 months, was justified. Sellers continued to dominate, although with reduced momentum, after a limited profit taking bounce in October and our first downside target was met. Although Dec’s lows were not held and 5th down month from the last 6 and negative technical... read more
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The Shooting Star created at the beginning of May 2016 has been proved although the scope of the downside remains, at the time of writing, modest. see EURUSD - Shooting Star dominatesBut are Shooting Stars a good indication of a change in formation? Well, the bad news is that they are a rare pattern on FX charts.... read more
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Further Gains Expected this week. Last Monday saw gains continue the strong demand seen over the preceding 3 weeks. But that day’s upside of almost 1 ¾ big figuress was not maintained and the subsequent 4 days all produced net losses to leaves EURGBP virtually unchanged into the week’s close. Despite the uncertainty that result suggests the limited... read more