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Posts tagged 'Technical Analysis'

DAX-FTSE spread warning to bulls
DAX-FTSE spread warning to bulls10th December 2019

Longer-term 3 month signals have been bullish throught 2019 and our strategy to stay long and buy dips has been the correct one.However, although there is no clear bearish reversal pattern on longer dated DAX-FTSE charts, signasl in the shorter-end are highlighting warnings.Initially divergence on momentum indicators, last week the US ending long trend of higher... read more

Trading Bunds, RSI and Keltner channels
Trading Bunds, RSI and Keltner channels7th November 2019

I've pointed out on these pages before how useful both RSI and Keltner channels can be to traders across the asset classes.  What I'd like to show today is how the two indicators can combine in another method of application for trading. This article is going to look at using Keltner channels around the RSI indicator rather than... read more

AUDNZD – Sentiment turns Positive
AUDNZD – Sentiment turns Positive8th April 2019

For the first time since last August, our trend following signals for AUDNZD have turned bullish.Last year's peak in August was signals by a Bearish Dark Cloud cover pattern on weekly candle charts. That bearish pattern was followed, 2 weeks later with a negative 'dead' cross of the 21 week moving average and a matching cross... read more

EURCHF – Sentiment Turns Bullish.
EURCHF – Sentiment Turns Bullish.4th February 2019

Last week saw investor demand for EURCHF continue the rise from last year's low point. But the key element was that buying interest accelerated - creating a 4th up week in a row  and, more importantly, breaking above the 21 week moving average.That positive break confirms the 'golden' cross already provided in the EURCHF RSI signals... read more

NZDUSD – Sentiment Turns Positive
NZDUSD – Sentiment Turns Positive11th November 2018

Last week's investor demand yielded a 4th positive weekly performance from the last 5. Importantly, the move took NZDUSD to the most positive levels traded for 14 weeks, breaking above the trend defining 21 week moving average.This confirms a similar bullish cross in the NZDUSD RSI indicator that occurred 3 weeks previously.A change to a bullish... read more

USDINR – Potential Bullish Rising Three pattern developing
USDINR – Potential Bullish Rising Three pattern developing29th October 2018

In the middle of February, buying if USDINR created a positive crossover of the 21 week mvg avg. This move confirmed a marginally earlier ‘golden’ cross in our RSI signals.Overall that bullish signal has been intact since with USDINR climbing by 9.50 or 14.75%, despite some profit taking during May and July- August. But you can... read more

GBPCAD – Positive break not maintained
GBPCAD – Positive break not maintained14th October 2018

Updated 29th October.Contrary to the bullish signals generated 2 weeks ago, investor demand for GBPCAD could not be maintained. Instead selling interest was renewed  with last week's decline being the most negative GBPCAD performance since April. This is enough to reassert a Bearish bias with initial targets of 1.6574 and 1.6467.Last week saw solid gains in... read more

Kiwi weakens. Where next?
Kiwi weakens. Where next?9th August 2018

Overnight news from the RBNZ has hit the Kiwi. Actually it has only emphasised a weakness that was already there as we can see with a look at 2 of the currency pairs in our Trend Table.Our medium term bias for NZDUSD has been negative since April when a 'dead' cross in the spot  through the 21... read more

CADJPY – Renewed Negative Sentiment
CADJPY – Renewed Negative Sentiment25th June 2018

Our report of 22nd January highlighted a Bearish Head & Shoulders pattern that targeted 82.00. That point was reached during March and extended by almost 1 1/2 big figures before profit taking developed.That rebound regained virtually exactly half of the decline from January's high but also created what is now confirmed as a false positive break... read more

AUDNZD – Sentiment turning Bullish?
AUDNZD – Sentiment turning Bullish?11th May 2018

Our medium term Trend Table turned bearish for AUDNZD in the second week of this year.  But are we now seeing a reversal of that trend?Prices fell by almost 5 big figures after a negative cross by spot AUDNZD  through the 21 week moving average confirmed a similar, earlier breach of the corresponding RSI average. But... read more